Bitcoin @ $75,000: HIGHER or LOWER from here?
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Bitcoin at $75,000 is caught in a moment of uncertainty, but the host argues that the odds favor a continued climb rather than a retest of the 2026 low at $60,000. While some technical patterns like the 'bear flag' suggest a possible final drop, the host dismisses the predictive power of such patterns as unreliable. Instead, he highlights a wave of institutional adoption—Square rolling out Bitcoin payments across 4 million terminals, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, and Morgan Stanley launching Bitcoin products, and Pakistan re-legalizing crypto—as strong tailwinds pushing the asset higher. With no major negative news in sight and a relentless daily focus on Bitcoin’s ecosystem, the host expresses unwavering confidence in its long-term trajectory. He bets between 60% and 70% that Bitcoin will reach $90,000 without ever returning to $60,000 again, though he acknowledges the 30% chance of a correction. His personal strategy? Wait for a tax refund to buy more, or use Bitcoin-backed loans if prices dip below $60,000—never leverage at current highs.
Bitcoin has a 60-70% probability of reaching $90,000 without revisiting the $60,000 2026 low.
Square is rolling out Bitcoin payments across 4 million U.S. terminals, increasing real-world utility.
Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, and Morgan Stanley have launched or are launching major Bitcoin products.
Pakistan has re-legalized Bitcoin, signaling growing global regulatory acceptance.
The Clarity Act is expected to pass in the next month, potentially giving crypto a formal stamp of approval from Congress.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Bitcoin at $75,000: No One Knows the Future
The host opens by stating that no one—including Michael Saylor, Lynn Alden, or Jack Mallers—can predict Bitcoin’s next move. He uses Saylor’s history of buying at higher prices as proof that even experts don’t know where the market is headed.
Bear Flag Theory and the Risk of a Final Drop
The host explains the bear flag pattern, where a sharp drop is followed by a slow grind higher. He notes that while this often resolves downward, it’s not reliable—like a coin toss. He warns that a final drop could happen, but it’s not likely.
The $60,000 Floor: How Low Could Bitcoin Go?
James Check’s view is cited: Bitcoin is unlikely to drop more than 5-10% below $60,000, meaning a worst-case scenario of $54,000–$59,000. The host argues that such a deep drop is extremely unlikely given Bitcoin’s historical mean reversion.
Why the Upside Is Stronger: Institutional Adoption & Tailwinds
“The last of the major financial institutions that were holdouts are coming online, including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, who just launched their own Bitcoin exchange.”
Personal Strategy: Waiting for the Right Moment to Buy
“If the price ever goes below $60,000, I will use Bitcoin-backed loans to buy it extremely heavily discounted Bitcoin down there.”
“The last of the major financial institutions that were holdouts are coming online, including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, who just launched their own Bitcoin exchange.”
“Nobody knows. In fact, Michael Saylor has bought tens of billions of dollars of Bitcoin at prices higher than today's price over the last six to 12 months.”
“Bitcoin will be the best performing asset in the world. Just like it always is over the coming years, it's just a matter of time.”
Host
james check
person
michael saylor
person
goldman sachs
organization
jp morgan
organization
morgan stanley
organization
pakistan
place
clarity act
other
square
organization
Bitcoin update at $66,000
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The CLASSIC bitcoin JOURNEY is probably YOUR JOURNEY also
Joel Bomgar on Bitcoin: The FB Live Audio • 10m • 4/16/2026
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