Why can’t the U.S. win its wars?
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This episode of Front Burner examines why the United States, despite being the most powerful military force in history, has failed to win any major war since 1945. Host Jamie Poisson interviews journalist and author Seth Harp, who argues that the U.S. doesn’t lose wars due to military weakness, but because of a fundamental mismatch between its war-making strategy and the demands of modern conflict. Harp traces the roots of this failure to a lack of popular support, unwillingness to accept mass casualties, and a shift toward low-casualty, technologically driven warfare—air strikes, drone strikes, and special operations—that avoids the political costs of conventional war. He highlights how the U.S. fights asymmetrical wars as a foreign invader, lacking home-field advantage and facing existential resistance from adversaries like Iran and the Taliban. The episode also explores how war has become a profitable enterprise for defense contractors and political insiders, creating a self-sustaining 'permanent war' economy that resists closure. Harp warns that the violence and surveillance tools developed abroad are now being turned inward, militarizing domestic policing and threatening American democracy. The conversation ends with a sobering reflection on how the U.S. has become a nation that wages war without ever truly defending itself, while the consequences of that war—both abroad and at home—continue to reverberate. Key takeaways include: 1) Victory in war requires popular support, mass troop commitment, and acceptance of casualties—none of which the U.S. currently embraces; 2) The U.S. has replaced conventional warfare with a covert, technologically precise model that avoids domestic political backlash but fails to achieve lasting strategic outcomes; 3) The military-industrial complex has a vested interest in prolonging conflicts, turning war into a profitable enterprise; 4) The 'boomerang theory' suggests that foreign violence and surveillance tools are increasingly used domestically, undermining civil liberties; 5) The U.S. has never had to defend its own territory in modern times, making its wars feel abstract and distant to the public; 6) The failure to define clear, achievable war aims and the tendency to declare premature victories (e.g., 'Mission Accomplished') have eroded strategic credibility; 7) The inability to end wars once they go wrong—passing the burden to future administrations—has created a cycle of perpetual conflict; 8) The normalization of war as a tool of foreign policy, rather than national defense, has fundamentally distorted American democracy and national identity.
Victory in modern war requires popular support, mass troop commitment, and willingness to accept casualties—none of which the U.S. currently embraces.
The U.S. has replaced conventional warfare with a low-casualty, technologically driven model that avoids domestic political backlash but fails to achieve lasting strategic outcomes.
The military-industrial complex has a vested interest in prolonging conflicts, turning war into a profitable enterprise for defense contractors and political insiders.
The 'boomerang theory' suggests that foreign violence and surveillance tools are increasingly being used domestically, militarizing policing and threatening civil liberties.
The U.S. has never had to defend its own territory in modern times, making its wars feel abstract and distant to the public.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Introduction: The Myth of American Military Victory
The episode opens with a CBC promotional segment before launching into the central question: why has the U.S. failed to win any major war since 1945? Host Jamie Poisson introduces Donald Trump’s claim that the U.S. no longer wins wars, citing Korea, Vietnam, Afghanistan, Iraq, and ongoing tensions with Iran as examples of strategic failure.
The 2023 Military Parade: Power Display vs. Institutional Decay
“It was frankly pathetic. People had in mind... an expectation of some North Korean style display... But it wasn't like that at all. It was quite a shambolic disorganized affair.”
Fort Bragg as a Symbol of Military Collapse
“The suicide and the drug overdose epidemics there that I mainly focused on... as a way of indirectly critiquing the foreign policy of the United States for the last 20 years.”
Why the U.S. Can’t Win: The Three Pillars of Victory
“I think that all of those sort of rationales... are all cop outs. And in reality, it is very possible to win wars in the modern era.”
Asymmetrical War and the Foreign Invader Paradox
The episode examines why the U.S. struggles in asymmetrical wars—fighting insurgents, guerrillas, and nationalistic movements. Harp emphasizes the home-field advantage of the enemy, the lack of legitimacy in U.S. interventions, and the fact that these wars are always framed as defensive, despite being offensive in nature.
“There are people who who really have the power. They're winning. And they don't care how many people that they kill.”
“I think that all of those sort of rationales... are all cop outs. And in reality, it is very possible to win wars in the modern era.”
“The U.S. has killed millions of people in foreign countries just by bombing apartment buildings and hospitals and schools and all kinds of civilian infrastructure.”
Host
Guest
Seth Harp
person
Jamie Poisson
person
Iraq
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Fort Bragg
place
Iran
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Donald Trump
person
Russia
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Afghanistan
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Vietnam
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Ukraine
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