2314 - Should you drop these players?
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In this episode of Fantasy Baseball Live, hosts Rich Wilson and Tim discuss early-season fantasy baseball decisions, focusing on players who are underperforming and whether they should be dropped, started, or given more patience. The conversation begins with a critique of the MLB's scheduling practices, particularly the use of cold-weather parks early in the season, which they argue skews performance data and frustrates fans. The core of the episode centers on a detailed analysis of several players with poor starts, including Julio Rodríguez, Nick Kurtz, Vinny P., Michael Bush, Trevor Story, Jorge Polanco, Marcus Semien, Trent Grisham, Marcelo Suñer, Carson Binge, and Kobe Mayo. While some players like Rodríguez and Binge are deemed worth keeping due to long-term upside, others like Suñer and Mayo are flagged as potential drops due to age, declining metrics, and lack of production. The hosts also discuss injury risks, with Cody Ponce’s ACL tear and Cade Horton’s elbow surgery being major setbacks. A key thematic takeaway is the debate over rostering the same player across multiple leagues—whether to go all-in on high-upside players or diversify to manage risk. The episode concludes with a recommendation to target rising prospects like Noah Schultz and Troy Johnson for the upcoming weekend, highlighting their strong underlying stats and favorable matchups. Key takeaways include: 1) Early-season slumps don’t always signal long-term failure—especially for young or high-upside players; 2) Players with extreme strikeout rates (like Nick Kurtz) or declining exit velocity (like Marcelo Suñer) should be monitored closely; 3) Injuries are inevitable, so risk management across leagues is crucial; 4) Always evaluate players through the lens of their long-term potential, not just short-term stats; 5) Consider deeper league sleepers like Noah Schultz and Troy Johnson for immediate pickups; 6) The MLB’s scheduling in cold climates distorts early-season fantasy performance; 7) Patience is warranted with young players, but only if they show signs of underlying improvement; 8) Roster strategy should align with your goals—whether it’s maximizing upside or minimizing risk.
Early-season slumps don't necessarily mean a player should be dropped—especially if they have high upside and strong underlying metrics.
Players with extreme strikeout rates (e.g., Nick Kurtz) or declining exit velocity (e.g., Marcelo Suñer) should be closely monitored.
Injury risk is high—diversifying roster exposure across leagues can protect against catastrophic losses.
Young players like Carson Binge and Noah Schultz offer high reward potential and should be targeted for pickups.
Scheduling in cold-weather parks early in the season distorts fantasy performance and should be factored into early-season analysis.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Sponsor: Dick's Scorecard Plus & Shopify Checkout
The episode opens with two sponsored segments: a promotion for Dick's Scorecard Plus, offering $160+ in annual benefits for $99, and a plug for Shopify's Checkout feature, which enables seamless shopping across platforms.
Early Season Scheduling & Player Performance
The hosts critique MLB’s early-season scheduling, particularly the use of cold-weather parks like Minneapolis and Sacramento, arguing it distorts player performance and frustrates fans. They highlight the inconsistency of weather-based scheduling and advocate for more games in warmer climates early in the year.
Player Analysis: Julio Rodríguez, Nick Kurtz, Vinny P., Michael Bush
A deep dive into early-season underperformers. Julio Rodríguez is deemed safe despite a slow start due to his long-term track record. Nick Kurtz’s high strikeout rate raises concerns, but his elite exit velocity suggests future power. Vinny P. and Michael Bush are kept due to their long-term potential and platoon value.
Trevor Story, Jorge Polanco, Marcus Semien, Trent Grisham
Trevor Story’s brutal start is seen as temporary, with signs of improvement. Jorge Polanco is flagged due to chronic health issues and an Achilles injury. Marcus Semien’s age and declining performance suggest it’s time to plan a replacement. Trent Grisham’s power slump is viewed as a potential platoon issue.
Marcelo Suñer, Carson Binge, Kobe Mayo
Marcelo Suñer is strongly recommended for a drop due to age, declining exit velocity, and poor performance. Carson Binge is kept for his stolen base potential despite poor hitting. Kobe Mayo is flagged as a potential drop due to lack of bat speed and poor contact metrics.
“Noah Schultz, I think, is getting the call and he is somebody that I think everybody should be jumping on this week.”
“I mean, I should at least get a shot in the major leagues or is this just a guy that's going to hit 200 or 400 home runs in the minor leagues?”
“You've got to drop him, right? You know, hey, to quote the late great fifth Beatle Billy Preston, nothing from nothing leaves nothing.”
Hosts
Tim
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Rich Wilson
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Julio Rodríguez
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Nick Kurtz
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Vinny P.
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MLB
organization
Noah Schultz
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Trevor Story
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Trent Grisham
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Marcus Semien
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