What’s next from Roundhill’s DRAM 5/11/26
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The ETF Edge podcast explores the explosive rise of memory chips as the critical bottleneck in the AI revolution, with Dave Mazza of Roundhill Investments and Drew Pettit of Citi Research explaining why DRAM ETFs like the Roundhill Memory ETF are outperforming despite massive gains. They argue that the demand for high-bandwidth memory, driven by data center expansion and AI infrastructure, is so strong and sustained that supply-demand imbalances may persist through 2028—far beyond typical semiconductor cycles. What’s more, these stocks are still attractively priced relative to their peers due to a rare combination of explosive earnings growth and low valuations. As the market shifts from pure AI hardware to enablers like optical networking and industrial infrastructure, the conversation turns to what comes next: prediction market ETFs. Roundhill is one of only three firms to file with the SEC for a prediction market ETF, aiming to offer investors a direct way to bet on political and economic events—potentially unlocking a new frontier in uncorrelated, alternative assets. Despite regulatory uncertainty, the team sees this as the next evolution in ETF innovation, much like stocks, bonds, and crypto once were.
Memory chips are the current AI bottleneck, with demand expected to outstrip supply through at least 2028 due to long fabrication lead times.
DRAM stocks like Micron are no longer cyclical—65% of their revenue now comes from data centers, backed by long-term contracts.
Despite 300%+ price gains since March, DRAM stocks remain cheap relative to peers because earnings expectations have risen 6–8x.
The next phase of AI investing includes enablers like optical networking (Credo, Coherent) and industrial infrastructure for data centers.
Prediction market ETFs could become a new asset class, allowing investors to directly hedge or bet on political and economic events.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Introduction: Semiconductors, AI, and the Memory Bottleneck
Contessa Brewer opens the episode with a sponsor plug for Invesco QQQ and introduces the central theme: the critical role of memory chips in the AI boom, setting up a discussion with Dave Mazza and Drew Pettit.
Why DRAM Is the New AI Powerhouse
“Now it's 65% of their business is going to data centers. Along with that, it's changing from having very, very short-term contracts to longer term contracts, which is making that business and others like Samsung and S&P Hynix incredibly less cyclical.”
Earnings Momentum Behind Price Gains
“If we're up 300 percent but your earnings expectations are up six to eight fold for the next few years, it still comes back reasonably priced to us.”
Beyond Memory: The AI Enablers
“You need plumbing, you need electrical work when you're going to build out a new data center. A lot of those industrial names also have really good pricing power and they're seeing better efficiency.”
What Comes After Memory? The Next Phase of AI Investing
Mazza previews the next frontier: optical networking and prediction market ETFs, arguing that the AI cycle is evolving beyond chips into infrastructure and even financial instruments.
“The power of prediction markets where people can express a binary view can be very powerful, which is one of the reasons why we've seen the ETF vehicle itself provide access to a multitude of exposures.”
“If we're up 300 percent but your earnings expectations are up six to eight fold for the next few years, it still comes back reasonably priced to us.”
“You need plumbing, you need electrical work when you're going to build out a new data center. A lot of those industrial names also have really good pricing power and they're seeing better efficiency.”
Host
Guests
Dave Mazza
person
Drew Pettit
person
Roundhill Investments
organization
Micron
organization
SEC
organization
NVIDIA
organization
Invesco QQQ
organization
Coherent
organization
Luminite
organization
Credo
organization
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