Denver Nuggets Probabilities: Jokic MVP, Murray All-Star Return, & More
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The DNVR Denver Nuggets Podcast delivers a lighthearted, casual Friday episode packed with speculative analysis and playful banter following the Nuggets' disappointing playoff exit. Hosts Brennan Vogt and Harrison Wind open with a humorous take on the team's down-and-out status compared to other NBA franchises like the Milwaukee Bucks, Houston Rockets, and Philadelphia 76ers, framing the Nuggets as only moderately down bad. The core of the episode dives into 'Theoretical Friday,' exploring what it would take for the Nuggets to run it back, who faces the most pressure next season (with Jamal Murray, David Adelman, and Christian Brown highlighted), and who might make the biggest leap (Peyton Watson, Christian Brown, and Julian Strother). The hosts then set odds on key narrative questions: Jokic winning another MVP (10%), the Nuggets surpassing 54 wins (45%), and Jamal Murray making the All-Star team (60%). The episode concludes with a fun 'Either or' game, debating whether the Nuggets should add a veteran coach or leader, and whether Jokic should prioritize shooting 40% from three or averaging a triple-double. The tone remains upbeat and engaged, balancing humor with genuine strategic insight.
The Nuggets are not the most down bad team in the NBA—Milwaukee, Houston, and Philadelphia are more dire due to roster collapse and organizational turmoil.
Jamal Murray faces the highest pressure next season, but David Adelman may be coaching for his career after a poor playoff performance.
Peyton Watson is the most likely player to make the biggest leap, with a 65% chance to finish as the team’s third-leading scorer.
Jokic’s MVP chances are slim (10%) due to age, competition, and the need for a dominant regular season, but his legacy remains secure.
The Nuggets have a 45% chance of winning more than 54 games next season, assuming better health and continuity.
…and 2 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Casual Friday: Who’s More Down Bad Than Denver?
“The Bucks might be the number one most down bad team. It's a great answer. Go ahead. Yeah, well, I was just going to say because they've also seen this potentially coming for the last three or four years. This is what could happen and they've been trying to put off what seemed like the inevitable and now it's here.”
Theoretical Friday: Pressure & Improvement
“I think for him, it's in some ways he is kind of coaching for his career next season. Which may sound dramatic, but I think it's kind of true.”
Setting the Odds: MVP, Wins, and All-Star Chances
“I'd say 45%. I still think it's way more likely that they take a step back in the regular season. Some of this might be by design. I really do wonder if next year they go into it, like just resting age and forget the health or this or that let's rest him.”
Either or: Strategic Decisions & Player Priorities
“I'm taking that one too. For sure. The rookie's more fun. But I like this question because I think we're at a crossroads with Denver. It's like. is it worth it to still try to be as good as you can next year? Yes. Because you're close, you think you're close or is it time to start thinking about two, three years down the road? No.”
“I'm taking that one too. For sure. The rookie's more fun. But I like this question because I think we're at a crossroads with Denver. It's like. is it worth it to still try to be as good as you can next year? Yes. Because you're close, you think you're close or is it time to start thinking about two, three years down the road? No.”
“I think for him, it's in some ways he is kind of coaching for his career next season. Which may sound dramatic, but I think it's kind of true.”
“The Bucks might be the number one most down bad team. It's a great answer. Go ahead. Yeah, well, I was just going to say because they've also seen this potentially coming for the last three or four years. This is what could happen and they've been trying to put off what seemed like the inevitable and now it's here.”
Hosts
Nikola Jokic
person
Jamal Murray
person
Peyton Watson
person
David Adelman
person
Denver Nuggets
other
Tim Hardaway Jr.
person
Giannis Antetokounmpo
person
Christian Brown
person
Milwaukee Bucks
other
Julian Strother
person
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