EDMUNDS Just Put the Entire Auto Industry On ALERT | Episode 1045
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In this episode of CarEdge Live, hosts Ray and Zach sound the alarm over a seismic shift in the U.S. auto industry, driven by Edmunds' latest data showing record-breaking auto financing trends. The average new vehicle loan in Q1 2026 reached $43,899, with loan terms stretching to 70.3 months and down payments plummeting to $6,206—signs of a financial system under immense strain. The hosts highlight that 20% of new car buyers now face monthly payments of $1,000 or more, a trend fueled by rising vehicle prices, high interest rates (averaging 6.9%), and consumers rolling over negative equity. They contrast this with 2015, when only 7.8% of loans exceeded 84 months, underscoring how unsustainable the current trajectory has become. The second half of the episode dissects a sharp decline in sales across major automakers—Ford, Honda, Mazda, Subaru, Nissan—while Stellantis (RAM and Jeep) bucked the trend with gains, largely due to aggressive price reductions. The hosts argue that most manufacturers are out of touch with affordability, using empty promises of 10% sales growth while prices continue to rise. They conclude that only when brands like RAM and Jeep lower prices do consumers respond, revealing a deep disconnect between marketing and market reality. Key takeaways include: 1) Consumers are financing more than ever with longer terms and less down payment, signaling financial stress; 2) The auto industry’s pricing strategy is out of sync with consumer affordability; 3) Only brands that cut prices (like RAM) are seeing sales growth; 4) The foundation of auto finance is crumbling under interest, depreciation, and negative equity; 5) Consumer uncertainty, driven by economic instability and fear of job loss, is suppressing demand; 6) CarEdge’s live negotiation platform offers transparency and real savings; 7) The auto industry’s PR is increasingly disconnected from reality; 8) The path forward requires price reductions, not empty promises. The overall sentiment is deeply critical and cautionary, with a tone of alarm and frustration over systemic failure in the automotive market.
Average new vehicle loan in Q1 2026 reached $43,899—record high with 70.3-month terms and $6,206 down payments.
20% of new car buyers now pay $1,000+ monthly, a trend driven by affordability pressures and negative equity.
Only Stellantis (RAM and Jeep) saw sales growth, tied to aggressive price cuts and lower-end model availability.
Most automakers are out of touch with affordability, despite claiming to address the crisis.
Consumer uncertainty and fear of job loss are suppressing demand despite incentives.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Opening & Show Intro
Hosts Ray and Zach introduce the show from Ventnor City, NJ and Washington, D.C., with a humorous exchange about the time of day and a brief mention of CarEdge’s new beta car search tool.
Edmunds Data: Record Financing Trends
“The average loan term length is now up to 70.3 months. The average monthly payment has ticked up to $773. The down payment has slid, decreased to $6,206.”
Historical Context: 2015 vs. 2026
“In 2015, 7.8% of borrowers took out 84-month or longer loans. Now, it's 23%.”
The Affordability Crisis & Consumer Behavior
“Even though it appears more affordable, you're actually paying more and it's less affordable.”
Sales Declines & Market Collapse Signs
“The foundation is mush, okay? My God, the foundation would have been stronger if they built it on oatmeal.”
“The prices keep going up, not coming down. It is, I don't know how much proof we need that 99.9% of the crap that comes out of their mouths is not worth the air that they drew in to utter those words.”
“The foundation is mush, okay? My God, the foundation would have been stronger if they built it on oatmeal.”
“The average loan term length is now up to 70.3 months. The average monthly payment has ticked up to $773. The down payment has slid, decreased to $6,206.”
Hosts
Ray
person
Zach
person
CarEdge
organization
Edmunds
organization
Stellantis
organization
RAM
brand
Q1 2026
other
2015
other
Jeep
brand
CarEdge.com/beta
product
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