Why gas still rules power prices
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The war in the Middle East has triggered a global energy crisis, with gas prices in Europe more than doubling since the conflict began, directly driving up electricity costs worldwide. Despite massive investments in wind and solar, the price of electricity remains tied to the cost of natural gas because of how power markets operate: the last, most expensive power source needed to meet demand—usually gas-fired plants—sets the price for all electricity. This economic principle, known as marginal cost pricing, means that even when renewables dominate the grid, the system still relies on gas for backup, making power bills vulnerable to geopolitical shocks. Yet some countries like Ethiopia are proving that a gas-free energy system is possible: powered by abundant hydropower, Ethiopia offers some of the cheapest electricity in the world, enabling affordable electric transport and business growth. The episode argues that while gas will remain a critical backup for now, the long-term solution lies in expanding domestic renewable generation and grid resilience to break the link between global gas volatility and local electricity prices.
Electricity prices are set by the most expensive power source needed to meet demand—usually gas—making them vulnerable to global supply shocks.
Even with high renewable capacity, countries like Germany face expensive electricity because gas plants set the marginal price during peak demand.
Ethiopia's hydropower surplus delivers some of the world's cheapest electricity, enabling affordable e-mobility and business growth.
Gas remains essential for grid stability during low renewable output periods, especially when batteries can't provide long-term storage.
Decoupling electricity prices from gas requires either massive grid-scale storage, demand-side flexibility, or a shift to domestic renewable generation.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Global Energy Crisis and Gas Price Surge
The war in the Middle East has disrupted gas supplies, especially through the Strait of Hormuz, causing gas prices in Europe to more than double and driving up electricity costs worldwide.
Why Gas Sets Electricity Prices
Electricity markets use marginal cost pricing: the last power source needed to meet demand—usually gas—determines the price for all electricity, even when renewables dominate.
The Role of Gas in Grid Stability
Natural gas provides essential flexibility during periods when renewables are insufficient, offering backup that batteries alone cannot yet match for long-duration energy needs.
Ethiopia: A Gas-Free Power Success Story
“It's significantly cheaper. So it's not percent, it's times. Like 20 to 50 times cheaper than gasoline.”
The Future of Energy Security
Countries are under pressure to reduce gas dependence, invest in domestic renewables, and build resilient grids to avoid future price spikes from global conflicts.
“The last producer that's necessary to serve demand determines the price, the so -called marginal”
“We need to think about solutions which are involving both the supply side, but also maybe the demand side.”
“The obvious way, the long term but obvious way to get out of this dilemma is to sort of get rid of the necessity to import these fossil fuels in this large degree.”
Host
Guests
Ethiopia
place
Dr. Leon Herth
person
Yuma Sasaki
person
Anne-Sophie Corbeau
person
Germany
place
Qatar
place
Strait of Hormuz
other
Dodai EV Bikes
organization
Addis Ababa
place
United States
place
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