FRIES COST MORE: The Effects of $20/Hour Minimum Wage on Fast Food
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This episode of Broeske and Musson examines the real-world consequences of California's $20/hour minimum wage law for fast food workers, enacted in April 2024 as part of Assembly Bill 1228. Hosts John Girardi and Christina Musson critique the policy's unintended outcomes, citing a UC Santa Cruz study that confirms predictions: reduced employee hours, job losses, increased automation (kiosks, mobile ordering, AI drive-throughs), and higher menu prices. They highlight how smaller chains like Foster Freeze couldn't afford the wage hike and went out of business, while larger chains like Taco Bell adapted through technology. The discussion extends to broader implications, including Los Angeles and Alameda County’s proposed $30/hour minimum wage for hotel workers, which has already led to reduced housekeeping services and guest opt-outs. The hosts argue that policymakers ignored basic economic principles—specifically, the law of supply and demand and Newton’s third law of motion (every action has an equal and opposite reaction)—and failed to consider how businesses would respond. They criticize California’s pro-labor environment as overly burdensome for small employers, calling for a reevaluation of the state’s economic orthodoxy.
Raising the minimum wage to $20/hour in fast food led to job losses, reduced hours, and increased automation—exactly what economists predicted.
Smaller fast food chains like Foster Freeze went out of business due to inability to absorb higher labor costs, while larger chains used tech to offset expenses.
Higher wages are being passed to consumers through menu price increases and reduced services (e.g., hotel housekeeping opt-outs).
Policymakers ignored second-order effects, assuming workers would benefit without considering business reactions or market dynamics.
California’s business climate is increasingly hostile to small employers due to high labor costs, legal risks, and regulatory burdens.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Intro and Sponsor: El Bajio Deal
The episode opens with a promotional segment for a $25 deal offering $50 in credit at El Bajio Mexican restaurant, highlighting the hosts' focus on value and food deals.
Cesar Chavez Statue Removal and 2024 Policy Shifts
The hosts discuss the rapid removal of the Cesar Chavez statue at Fresno State and frame it as part of a broader political reckoning, setting the stage for a critique of progressive labor policies enacted in 2024.
The $20/Hour Minimum Wage Law: Origins and Predictions
The hosts detail the passage of Assembly Bill 1228, which raised the minimum wage for large fast food franchises to $20/hour effective April 1, 2024. They mock the irony of the date and question the exemption of Panera, suggesting political favoritism.
UC Santa Cruz Study Confirms Predictions
“We could have told you this three years ago when they were talking about it. We did.”
Broader Implications: $30/Hour Wages and Systemic Failure
“For every action there's an equal and opposite reaction. Exactly. And that's exactly what it is.”
“For every action there's an equal and opposite reaction. Exactly. And that's exactly what it is.”
“They're shocked by this. We could have told them this three years ago when they were talking about it.”
“We could have told you this three years ago when they were talking about it. We did.”
Hosts
Christina Musson
person
John Girardi
person
UC Santa Cruz
organization
Assembly Bill 1228
other
Alameda County
place
Foster Freeze
brand
Taco Bell
brand
Los Angeles
place
Gavin Newsom
person
Vince Colonese
person
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