SPECIAL EPISODE: The Summer Movie Wager 2026

BEST MOVIES NEVER MADE59mApril 27, 2026

Get the full intelligence

Search transcripts, export clips, track mentions, and explore all topics from “SPECIAL EPISODE: The Summer Movie Wager 2026” inside PodZeus.

AI-Generated Summary

In this special bonus episode of Best Movies Never Made, co-hosts Josh Miller and Steven Scarletta dive into their annual Summer Movie Wager 2026, a fun, fan-driven box office prediction game tracking the top-grossing films released between May 1st and the end of August. The hosts break down their picks for the top 10 films, with a focus on major franchises, sequels, and surprise contenders. Josh places Toy Story 5 at number one, betting on Pixar’s enduring family appeal and a lack of strong children’s competition in June, while Steven favors Spider-Man: Brand New Day for its August window and potential to dominate the final stretch. Both agree the summer is exceptionally stacked, with major entries like The Mandalorian and Grogu, Moana 2, and The Odyssey creating intense competition. They also discuss dark horse picks, including the horror film Backrooms, the legacy sequel Scary Movie 6, and the under-the-radar comedy Nate Bargatze’s The Breadwinner, which could surprise with a niche audience. The episode ends with a lighthearted reflection on the podcast’s evolving schedule and a tease for future regular episodes. Key takeaways include: 1) The Summer Movie Wager is a fun, community-driven game tracking domestic box office performance from May 1st to August 31st; 2) Pixar’s Toy Story 5 is a strong contender due to its strong opening window and nostalgic pull; 3) Legacy sequels like Scary Movie 6 and The Mandalorian and Grogu could thrive on nostalgia and brand loyalty; 4) Horror and family films may benefit from a crowded summer, with Backrooms and The Odyssey standing out as potential sleeper hits; 5) Dark horses like Nate Bargatze’s The Breadwinner show that unexpected comedies can succeed with the right audience alignment. The hosts express cautious optimism for the summer’s box office, acknowledging the unpredictability of audience fatigue and surprise hits.

Key Takeaways
1

The Summer Movie Wager tracks domestic box office performance from May 1st to August 31st, with no credit given to films released before May 1st.

2

Toy Story 5 is a top pick due to Pixar’s brand strength and a favorable June release window with minimal children’s competition.

3

Legacy sequels like Scary Movie 6 and The Mandalorian and Grogu are strong contenders due to nostalgia and franchise loyalty.

4

Horror films like Backrooms and The Odyssey could surprise as sleeper hits in a crowded summer.

5

Dark horses like Nate Bargatze’s The Breadwinner may appeal to niche audiences and perform better than expected.

Chapters
0:00
4 min

Introducing the Summer Movie Wager 2026

Josh and Steven introduce the special bonus episode, explaining the Summer Movie Wager — a fan-driven box office prediction game that tracks movies released between May 1st and August 31st. They clarify the rules, emphasize the importance of the release window, and express excitement for the stacked summer lineup.

4:00
6 min

Top 10 Picks: From Devil Wears Prada 2 to The Odyssey

The hosts reveal their top 10 picks in reverse order, discussing their reasoning for each. Key picks include Devil Wears Prada 2 as a summer opener, The Odyssey as a Nolan-led IMAX event, and Moana 2 as a potential sequel sleeper. They debate competition, audience fatigue, and release timing.

10:00
10 min

Dark Horse Predictions and Niche Contenders

I could see him having kind of like a big secret audience to that one.

Highlight
20:00
10 min

The Battle for Number One: Toy Story 5 vs. Spider-Man

I think because August what's August? August is like ice cream, like ice cream man.

Highlight
30:00
10 min

The Impact of Release Timing and Audience Fatigue

The hosts analyze how release timing affects box office performance, discussing June’s 'mosh pit' of releases, the risk of audience fatigue, and how films like The Mandalorian and Grogu could benefit from a Memorial Day weekend launch. They also consider how trailers and marketing momentum influence expectations.

High-Impact Quotes
I think because August what's August? August is like ice cream, like ice cream man.
Josh Miller46:01
Viral: 80.0
I feel like they're actually... Some of the taglines, it's like they're it's almost seems like the point of the movie is to be offensive.
Steven Scarletta12:39
Viral: 78.0
I could see him having kind of like a big secret audience to that one.
Steven Scarletta56:16
Viral: 75.0
Speakers

Hosts

Josh MillerSteven Scarletta
Topics Discussed
summer movie wager95%box office predictions90%dark horse picks88%release timing strategy86%legacy sequels85%family-friendly films82%horror film trends80%franchise fatigue75%
People & Brands

Steven Scarletta

person

14xNeutral

Josh Miller

person

12xNeutral

Toy Story 5

media

9xPositive

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

media

8xPositive

Devil Wears Prada 2

media

8xPositive

Moana 2

media

7xNeutral

The Summer Movie Wager

product

7xPositive

The Mandalorian and Grogu

media

7xPositive

Backrooms

media

6xNeutral

The Odyssey

media

6xPositive

Get the full intelligence

Search transcripts, export clips, track mentions, and explore all topics from “SPECIAL EPISODE: The Summer Movie Wager 2026” inside PodZeus.

Start discovering podcast insights today

Start with a 7-day trial and explore a growing catalog of popular podcasts. No credit card required.

No credit card required • 7-day trial • Cancel anytime