SPECIAL EPISODE: The Summer Movie Wager 2026
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In this special bonus episode of Best Movies Never Made, co-hosts Josh Miller and Steven Scarletta dive into their annual Summer Movie Wager 2026, a fun, fan-driven box office prediction game tracking the top-grossing films released between May 1st and the end of August. The hosts break down their picks for the top 10 films, with a focus on major franchises, sequels, and surprise contenders. Josh places Toy Story 5 at number one, betting on Pixar’s enduring family appeal and a lack of strong children’s competition in June, while Steven favors Spider-Man: Brand New Day for its August window and potential to dominate the final stretch. Both agree the summer is exceptionally stacked, with major entries like The Mandalorian and Grogu, Moana 2, and The Odyssey creating intense competition. They also discuss dark horse picks, including the horror film Backrooms, the legacy sequel Scary Movie 6, and the under-the-radar comedy Nate Bargatze’s The Breadwinner, which could surprise with a niche audience. The episode ends with a lighthearted reflection on the podcast’s evolving schedule and a tease for future regular episodes. Key takeaways include: 1) The Summer Movie Wager is a fun, community-driven game tracking domestic box office performance from May 1st to August 31st; 2) Pixar’s Toy Story 5 is a strong contender due to its strong opening window and nostalgic pull; 3) Legacy sequels like Scary Movie 6 and The Mandalorian and Grogu could thrive on nostalgia and brand loyalty; 4) Horror and family films may benefit from a crowded summer, with Backrooms and The Odyssey standing out as potential sleeper hits; 5) Dark horses like Nate Bargatze’s The Breadwinner show that unexpected comedies can succeed with the right audience alignment. The hosts express cautious optimism for the summer’s box office, acknowledging the unpredictability of audience fatigue and surprise hits.
The Summer Movie Wager tracks domestic box office performance from May 1st to August 31st, with no credit given to films released before May 1st.
Toy Story 5 is a top pick due to Pixar’s brand strength and a favorable June release window with minimal children’s competition.
Legacy sequels like Scary Movie 6 and The Mandalorian and Grogu are strong contenders due to nostalgia and franchise loyalty.
Horror films like Backrooms and The Odyssey could surprise as sleeper hits in a crowded summer.
Dark horses like Nate Bargatze’s The Breadwinner may appeal to niche audiences and perform better than expected.
Introducing the Summer Movie Wager 2026
Josh and Steven introduce the special bonus episode, explaining the Summer Movie Wager — a fan-driven box office prediction game that tracks movies released between May 1st and August 31st. They clarify the rules, emphasize the importance of the release window, and express excitement for the stacked summer lineup.
Top 10 Picks: From Devil Wears Prada 2 to The Odyssey
The hosts reveal their top 10 picks in reverse order, discussing their reasoning for each. Key picks include Devil Wears Prada 2 as a summer opener, The Odyssey as a Nolan-led IMAX event, and Moana 2 as a potential sequel sleeper. They debate competition, audience fatigue, and release timing.
Dark Horse Predictions and Niche Contenders
“I could see him having kind of like a big secret audience to that one.”
The Battle for Number One: Toy Story 5 vs. Spider-Man
“I think because August what's August? August is like ice cream, like ice cream man.”
The Impact of Release Timing and Audience Fatigue
The hosts analyze how release timing affects box office performance, discussing June’s 'mosh pit' of releases, the risk of audience fatigue, and how films like The Mandalorian and Grogu could benefit from a Memorial Day weekend launch. They also consider how trailers and marketing momentum influence expectations.
“I think because August what's August? August is like ice cream, like ice cream man.”
“I feel like they're actually... Some of the taglines, it's like they're it's almost seems like the point of the movie is to be offensive.”
“I could see him having kind of like a big secret audience to that one.”
Hosts
Steven Scarletta
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Josh Miller
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Toy Story 5
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Spider-Man: Brand New Day
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Devil Wears Prada 2
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Moana 2
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The Summer Movie Wager
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The Mandalorian and Grogu
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Backrooms
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The Odyssey
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