Opening Day 2026: Cubs Throw Cash at PCA; Pitching Ninja on the Best Pitches in Baseball

Baseball Tonight with Buster Olney1h 8mApril 7, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

In this opening day episode of Baseball Tonight, host Buster Olney and guest Paul Hembikidis dive into the 2026 MLB season with a mix of player analysis, team projections, and deep dives into the evolution of pitching. The conversation kicks off with the Chicago Cubs' massive six-year, $115 million extension for center fielder Pete Crow Armstrong, with Olney and Hembikidis weighing in on the risk-reward of a player whose elite defense (noted for 19 five-star StatCast plays) may outweigh his inconsistent hitting. They then spotlight Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as a potential MVP, drawing comparisons to Eddie Murray and highlighting his elite strikeout avoidance and power. The episode also celebrates the emergence of Detroit Tigers' Kevin McGonigal, whose minor league stats (160+ WRC+ and more walks than strikeouts) make him a rare talent, and praises the Tigers’ bold move to open the season with him. The second half features Rob Friedman, the 'Pitching Ninja,' discussing his new book *Unhittable*, which explores how technology, biomechanics, and data have revolutionized pitching. Friedman highlights pitchers like Mason Miller (best fastball), Nolan McClain (best breaking ball), and Logan Gilbert (best splitter), while emphasizing how modern pitchers now seek data-driven optimization. He reflects on the cultural shift in baseball—from old-school grit to analytics-driven mastery—and pays tribute to pioneers like Tom House and the impact of players like Paul Skeens and Shohei Otani. The episode closes with Bleacher Tweets, team win projections, and a heartfelt nod to Sarah Langs and her ALS advocacy through the 'Baseball is the Best' t-shirt campaign, raising $200,000.

Key Takeaways
1

Pete Crow Armstrong’s $115M Cubs deal is a high-risk, high-reward bet on elite defense over consistent hitting.

2

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is a top MVP candidate due to his elite strikeout avoidance and power, with a strong case for a Hall of Fame trajectory.

3

Kevin McGonigal’s minor league stats (160+ WRC+, more walks than strikeouts) make him one of the rarest prospects in 20 years.

4

Pitching has evolved through data, biomechanics, and technology—pitchers now demand detailed metrics to optimize performance.

5

The splitter is making a comeback thanks to Japanese influence and new understanding of spin and movement.

…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus

Chapters
0:00
10 min

Opening Day 2026: A Celebration of Baseball’s Omnipresence

Olney and Hembikidis kick off the season with a reflective and enthusiastic look at the beauty of baseball’s daily rhythm, setting the tone for a 162-game journey. They discuss the personal discipline of working from home on opening day and the emotional weight of the first pitch.

10:00
10 min

Cubs' $115M Bet on Pete Crow Armstrong: Defense Over Hitting

He walks off the bus every season with three wins above replacement just because the glove is that special.

Highlight
20:00
10 min

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and the MVP Case: From Star to Superstar

When it's you and Barry Bonds on any list, you're right. You're absolutely in your bag.

Highlight
30:00
10 min

The Rise of Kevin McGonigal: A Minor League Phenom in Detroit

There are two minor leaguers with a batting line 60% above average and more walks than strikeouts. Those are Vlad Jr. and Kevin McGonigal.

Highlight
40:00
20 min

Rob Friedman, the Pitching Ninja: The Science Behind Unhittable Pitches

If you have numbers, players are going to shoot for the higher number. Like if you see 99, they want 100. If you see 100, you want 102.

Highlight
High-Impact Quotes
When it's you and Barry Bonds on any list, you're right. You're absolutely in your bag.
Buster Olney7:49
Viral: 90.0
There are two minor leaguers with a batting line 60% above average and more walks than strikeouts. Those are Vlad Jr. and Kevin McGonigal.
Paul Hembikidis23:30
Viral: 88.0
He walks off the bus every season with three wins above replacement just because the glove is that special.
Paul Hembikidis5:26
Viral: 85.0
Speakers

Host

Buster Olney

Guests

Paul HembikidisRob Friedman
Topics Discussed
pitching analytics and technology95%evolution of pitching mechanics92%player contracts and extensions90%minor league prospect evaluation88%defensive excellence in center field85%team win projections and playoff outlooks80%injury culture and recovery in baseball75%baseball history and legacy70%
People & Brands

Buster Olney

person

30xPositive

Rob Friedman

person

25xNeutral

Paul Hembikidis

person

20xPositive

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

person

18xNeutral

Chicago Cubs

other

15xPositive

Pete Crow Armstrong

person

12xPositive

Detroit Tigers

other

12xPositive

Kevin McGonigal

person

10xNeutral

Paul Skeens

person

10xNeutral

Shohei Otani

person

8xNeutral

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